Security-Widefield, Colorado 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

439
FXUS65 KPUB 071920
AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
120 PM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Daily showers and thunderstorms continue each day into next week,
mostly over the mountains.

- Hot and dry conditions increase fire weather concerns late
  this weekend into early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 1234 PM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Hot and generally dry today. High temperatures will hit triple
digits over the far eastern plains this afternoon, with the rest of
the plains remaining in the mid-high 90s. Chance for thunderstorms
today remains near-zero due to much drier air at the surface
compared to yesterday, along with high pressure building in over the
region. Generally warm and mild tonight, though the main concern
will be poor humidity recovery into Monday morning.

Similarly hot and dry on Monday, with 80s-90s across the CWA and
near-100F out east near the KS border. Breezy southwest flow aloft
will continue our trend of high fire danger, with a Red Flag Warning
now out for Fremont, Pueblo, and Huerfano Counties.

It is worth noting that fuels are considered critical in these
zones, meaning that plants are dry enough to support more dangerous
fire behavior. Much more of southeast Colorado will be experiencing
meteorological critical fire weather conditions, meaning low
humidity and gusty winds, but fuels are considered too green for
more fire weather highlights at this time. As we move into the work
week, that may very well change, so keep an eye out for updates.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1234 PM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Not much change to the long-term forecast at this time. Hot, dry,
and windy conditions will persist across the area as an upper trough
amplifies north of Colorado. This will help increase flow and
generally limit any significant incoming moisture. Through
Wednesday, temperatures are expected to consistently climb into the
triple digits over portions of the plains, with RH hovering below
critical thresholds for large portions of each day. Based on latest
data, winds also look to increase Tues-Weds, sustained 25-30 mph
with gusts upwards of 50 mph possible. Critical fire weather
conditions are expected over large portions of our CWA each day this
week, so the only limiting factor on how many Red Flag Warnings go
into effect will be fuels status, which given recent trends, may
dry out quickly.

SLIGHTLY cooler, or perhaps just less hot, temperatures appear to
move in around the end of the week as the upper pattern flattens
out. Long-range guidance hints at some kind of upper wave moving in
around days 7-8, but the signal is still unclear, and details are
uncertain at this time.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1126 AM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

VFR conditions are generally expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB
through 24 hours. Winds will gain a west-southwest component at the
terminals this afternoon, with gusts to 25 knots expected. Some
weak, high-based convection may be possible during the late
afternoon into early evening, but currently chances are too low to
include anything in this round of TAFs. May need to monitor for
potential outflow winds.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1234 PM MDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Meteorological Critical Fire Weather Conditions will become
widespread across the region during this 7 day period. Conditions
will likely get worse each day through mid week, with the greatest
concern occurring on TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY as the strongest winds
will occur these days. Winds these two days will be in the 20 to 40
mph range with gusts to 50. Winds will be stronger in the mtns.

Please Note: at this time, the Rocky Mountain Fuels Page has most of
the mtns and valleys, and part of the plains in the NO category for
critical fuel conditions. The only area in the higher terrain that
is critical as of this AFD is Fremont county). If the Rocky Mountain
Fuels Page is updated and more areas are deemed to be critical, then
the Fire Weather Watch/Red Flag warning areas will likely need to be
expanded.

Humidity recovery at night will be poor, especially mid week.

Later this week critical fire weather conditions will continue, but
it will not be as hot and winds will are expected to be less.


&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ222-229.
Red Flag Warning from noon to 7 PM MDT Monday for COZ222-228-
229.
Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday
evening for COZ222-228>231-234-235.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...GARBEROGLIO
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO
FIRE WEATHER...GARBEROGLIO